Trump Faces Critical Three-Part Test Before 2026 Midterms Could Determine House Majority

The Republican majority in the U.S. Congress may be at risk in the 2026 midterm elections if President Donald Trump fails to deliver on three major unfinished initiatives. Recent polling data reveals congressional Democrats have achieved a record low of 18 percent job approval, with 73 percent disapproval — the worst since tracking began in 2009.

Historically, the president’s party typically loses seats during midterm elections, particularly in the U.S. House. Should this pattern occur, Trump’s reform agenda would be severely constrained or derailed.

To protect Republican majorities and his campaign goals, Trump must address three urgent priorities:

1. Enhance election integrity by mandating voter identification requirements, implementing one-day voting and ballot counting procedures, and adopting paper ballots nationwide.
2. Ensure the swift prosecution of public officials and powerful private-sector figures who have committed felonies within the next few months.
3. Utilize all legal tools to arrest and prosecute perpetrators of mass felony crimes, particularly in urban areas experiencing lawlessness and industrial-scale fraud.

The legitimacy of U.S. government derives from free and fair elections that reflect the sovereignty of the people. When voting irregularities emerge, the moral authority of government is compromised, leading to public distrust and potentially destabilizing regional and global order.

Similarly, the failure to hold accountable individuals who have violated laws — including former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton during the 2016 Benghazi incident involving four Americans — risks enabling a two-tiered justice system. This has historically fostered political corruption and cronyism.

Furthermore, over 20 major cities and 13 states have adopted sanctuary status policies that impede federal immigration enforcement, often accompanied by efforts to defund police and undermine federal authority.

Without prompt action on these fronts, Trump’s base may become demoralized, resulting in reduced voter turnout and jeopardizing Republican congressional majorities. A Democratic gain in the House would not only derail his agenda but could trigger new impeachment proceedings and threaten national stability.